(Historical Statistics of the United States, or HSUS, 1976) Real GNP per capita grew 2.7 percent per year between 19.By both nineteenth and twentieth century standards these were relatively rapid rates of real economic growth and they would be considered rapid even today. In mid-1920 the American economy began to contract and the 1920-1921 depression lasted about a year, but a rapid recovery reestablished full-employment by 1923.We begin the survey of the 1920s with an examination of the overall production in the economy, GNP, the most comprehensive measure of aggregate economic activity.
(Historical Statistics of the United States, or HSUS, 1976) Real GNP per capita grew 2.7 percent per year between 19.By both nineteenth and twentieth century standards these were relatively rapid rates of real economic growth and they would be considered rapid even today. In mid-1920 the American economy began to contract and the 1920-1921 depression lasted about a year, but a rapid recovery reestablished full-employment by 1923.We begin the survey of the 1920s with an examination of the overall production in the economy, GNP, the most comprehensive measure of aggregate economic activity.
The result was that the prices of raw materials and manufactured inputs fell rapidly along with the prices of agricultural produce—the WPI dropped 45.9 percent between 19.
The price changes probably tend to overstate the severity of the 1920-1921 depression.
As will be discussed below, the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policy was a major factor in initiating the 1920-1921 depression. There was a very mild recession in 1924 and another mild recession in 1927 both of which may be related to oil price shocks (Mc Millin and Parker, 1994).
The 1927 recession was also associated with Henry Ford’s shut-down of all his factories for six months in order to changeover from the Model T to the new Model A automobile.
Though the Model T’s market share was declining after 1924, in 1926 Ford’s Model T still made up nearly 40 percent of all the new cars produced and sold in the United States.
The Great Depression began in the summer of 1929, possibly as early as June.
After that consumer prices were relatively constant and actually fell slightly from 1926 to 1927 and from 1927 to 1928. As European production began to recover after the war prices began to fall.
Though the prices of agricultural products fell from 1919 to 1920, the depression brought on dramatic declines in the prices of raw agricultural produce as well as many other inputs that firms employ.
As the figure shows the 1920-1921 depression was marked by extraordinarily large price decreases.
Consumer prices fell 11.3 percent from 1920 to 1921 and fell another 6.6 percent from 1921 to 1922. Prices had been bid up with the increasing foreign demand during the First World War.
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